Every pick, graded in public.
NFL player props, logged before kickoff and graded after. Wins and losses stay on the record.
Season record
Units won
By tier
Results
Every play and lean, graded from official box scores.
Projection sheet
Lines where the model and the book disagree most. Information, not picks, and not every prop. Every line shown is graded.
Sheet record
TD board
The model's chance for each player to score an anytime TD, grouped by confidence and checked against what happened.
This season
Longer history
About
ModelSays is an NFL player props model. Picks post on X before kickoff; this site keeps the record.
Locked before kickoff
Every pick is logged with a timestamp before the game starts, then graded from official box scores. Misses stay up.
Units
Top play 4 units, Strong 2 units, Solid 1 unit. Leans, the projection sheet and the TD board are tracked without units.
Every pick counts
The record includes every pick the model made, whether or not it went out on X that night.
Voids
A player who doesn't play is void, not a loss.